国际航空运输协会（IATA）：2025年第三季度全球航空运输业状况分析报告（英文版）

. The business cycle ▪ The global economy has shown great resilience in the face of unhelpful trade policies and other impediments to growth and can maybe best be summed up as “not as bad as we feared but less strong than it could have been”. We expect a deceleration in the global rate of GDP growth from 3.6% in 2024 to a rate closer to 2.5% year-on-year (Q4 YoY) in 2025.1 For some perspective, the long-term average global growth rate is 3%, and during the recessions in 2020 and in 2009, glob