英国经济与商业研究中心：2026年世界经济排行榜：至2040年190国经济预测（英文版）

It has been some time since the global economy experienced a ‘normal’ year. That trend continued in 2025, a year typified by a significant shake-up of the global trading order. There have clearly been consequences. Global growth slowed for a fourth consecutive year, to an estimated 2.6%. Excluding the pandemic and years most affected by the global financial crisis, growth was last lower in 2002. Meanwhile, the US, the instigator of 2025’s volatility, saw its growth rate slow to its weakest si