国际货币基金组织：亚太地区能源转型的经济影响（英文版）

This paper examines the economic effects of the global energy transition and the large uncertainty surrounding future fossil fuel demand on countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Under the paper’s baseline, coal demand is expected to shrink by 15 percent by 2035, although depending on global policy ambition and technological uptake, the decline could be as large as 45 percent. Model simulations indicate that one-third of global coal capital stock and one-quarter of Asia-Pacific coal capital st