安联：2026年全球破产形势展望报告：警惕中东危机外溢效应（英文版）

Spillovers from the Middle East crisis will make 2026 the fifth consecutive year of rising global business insolvencies. The ripple effects of lower growth and higher inflation from the Middle East will account for one-third of this increase. The immediate implications for energy markets, shipping costs and supply chains, as well as second-round effects via inflation, financial conditions and the hit to confidence, have pushed up our forecasts to +6% in 2026 for our Global Insolvency In