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国际货币基金组织:预测GCC GDP:一种用于增强非石油GDP预测的机器学习解决方案(英文版)

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2025-12-26
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国际货币基金组织:预测GCC GDP:一种用于增强非石油GDP预测的机器学习解决方案(英文版).pdf
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This paper presents a machine learning–based nowcasting framework for estimating quarterly non-oil GDP growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Leveraging machine learning models tailored to each country, the framework integrates a broad range of high-frequency indicators—including real activity, financial conditions, trade, and oil-related variables—to produce timely, sector-specific estimates. Advancing the nowcasting literature for the MENA region, this approach moves beyond


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