兰德：2026年传统逻辑、核恐惧：北约与俄罗斯之间无意升级的风险报告（英文版）

This report, the first in a series, considers mechanisms through which conventional concepts, doctrine, capabilities, plans and operations between the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and Russia could unintentionally lead to nuclear escalation. It was commissioned by the Defence Nuclear Organisation (DNO) of the United Kingdom (UK) Ministry of Defence (MOD) as part of a larger project exploring the risk of inadvertent escalation in Europe. Inadvertent escalation differs from delibera