国会预算办公室：2025年政府关门对经济影响的三种情景定量分析报告（英文版）

You have asked the Congressional Budget Office for information about the effects on the economy of the lapse in discretionary appropriations (often called a government shutdown) that began on October 1, 2025. This letter presents estimates of the effects under three scenarios: a shutdown that ends after four weeks (on October 29), one that ends after six weeks (on November 12), and one that ends after eight weeks (on November 26).1 In CBO’s assessment, the shutdown will delay federal spending