Epoch AI：2030年人工智能（AI）研究报告：基于当前趋势的外推分析（英文版）

How will advanced AI be developed, and what will its effects be in the world at large? What will happen if current trends in scaling up AI development persist all the way to 2030? This report examines what this scale-up would involve in terms of compute, investment, data, hardware, and energy. We explore the role of compute across inference and training, the promise of economic value that would be necessary to justify such investment, and potential challenges in data availability and energy.