世界银行：人力资本对当前和未来增长的贡献：世界银行长期增长模型（LTGM-HC）的扩展（英文版）

This paper presents the Long-Term Growth Model–Human Capital Extension (LTGM-HC), a spreadsheet-based toolkit that projects the human capital of the workforce from 2025 to 2100 for 153 countries. The LTGM-HC simulates pre-tertiary years of schooling, education quality, and health across age cohorts and how they affect current and future workforce productivity. The paper also produces three sets of general results. First, it provides new estimates of the current rate of human capital g