William Blair：2026年经济学周报：为什么不等？（英文版）

Consensus is firmly in the camp that the Fed will not raise rates next week, with not one of the 175 economists polled by Bloomberg forecasting a rate increase (or a cut). The futures market, meanwhile, is attaching only a 21.9% probability to an increase, and those odds increase to 68.2% when looking out to the September FOMC meeting. In this Economics Weekly, Richard de Chazal discusses several reasons the Fed could decide to