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期刊文章

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5金币国际货币基金组织：ECCU面临的财产保险挑战（英文版）.PDF

Property insurance affordability presents a growing challenge for the ECCU. With a high reliance on global reinsurance to manage risks in high-exposure products like property, the recent tightening of global reinsurance market conditions has larg...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-06 发布 | 1.16MB | 11 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：利率敏感性情景指导货币政策（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the challenges of formulating monetary policy in the face of heightened uncertainty. We develop a framework to assess the optimal monetary policy path under uncertainty, focusing on four key dimensions: the expectation formatio...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-06 发布 | 1.04MB | 31 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：情景综合与宏观经济风险（英文版）.PDF

We develop methodology to bridge scenario analysis and risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. The methodology, rooted in Bayesian analysis, addresses the fundamental challenge of reconciling judgmental narrativ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-06 发布 | 1.85MB | 30 页
5金币国际货币基金组织：数字化：代际职业流动的催化剂？（英文版）.PDF

This paper analyzes the link between digitalization and intergenerational occupational mobility in Africa. We use a probit model estimated on a large sample of 28 million individuals aged 14 and higher and co-residing with at least one individual ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-06 发布 | 557.08KB | 24 页
5金币国际货币基金组织：为未来提供动力：ECCU的能源转型战略（英文版）.PDF

Reducing energy dependence in the ECCU entails improving energy efficiency and shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy. This energy transition will affect the transmission of and vulnerability to shocks (e.g., from natural disasters or commodi...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-06 发布 | 1.52MB | 13 页
5金币美联储：国债期货市场的市场流动性（英文版）.PDF

We study the behavior of liquidity providers and liquidity consumers in the 10-year U.S. Treasury futures market during the height of the COVID-19 shock in March 2020, a period of market turmoil when demand for liquidity was high. In March 2020, P...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-05 发布 | 2.81MB | 28 页
8金币美联储：公司债务到期与商业周期波动（英文版）.PDF

Long-term debt is the main source of firm-financing in the U.S. We show that accounting for debt maturity is crucial for understanding business cycle dynamics. We develop a macroeconomic model with defaultable long-term debt and equity adjustment ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-05 发布 | 2.77MB | 55 页
8金币美联储：回顾“透视”（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the place that a “look-through” approach to price shocks has acquired in inflation-targeting frameworks. The “look-through” approach reflects the fact that, in the event of a shock that is likely (on impact) to put a sizable sh...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-05 发布 | 383.14KB | 32 页
10金币世界银行：从父权制到政策：规范、投票和性别平等法（英文版）.PDF

Legal institutions play an important role in shaping gender equality in economic domains, from inheritance to labor markets. But where do gender equal laws come from? Using cross-country data on social norms and legal equality, this paper investigate...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-05 发布 | 812.93KB | 64 页
15金币世界银行：对全球风险的预测敏感性-BVAR分析（英文版）.PDF

Developing countries face uncertainties driven by global macroeconomic variables over which they have little to no control. Key exogenous factors faced by most developing countries include interest rates in high-income countries, commodity prices...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-06-05 发布 | 87.48MB | 135 页