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学术论文

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5金币国际清算银行：Word2Prices：嵌入央行通信以预测通胀（英文版）.PDF

Machine learning tools that transform texts into numbers, capturing their meaning and sentiment, expand the range of economic analyses. Central bank communications are particularly important: their speeches, press conferences and other texts conta...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-04-02 发布 | 727.3KB | 29 页
10金币英国财政研究所（IFS）：住房财富，婚姻稳定和劳动力供应：跨期分析（英文版）.PDF

We study how house price shocks affect marital stability and household labor supply. We address this question using a dynamic collective household model with limited commitment. We find that positive house price shocks increase the divorce rate, a...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-31 发布 | 1.21MB | 66 页
10金币英国财政研究所（IFS）：警察基础设施，警察绩效和犯罪：紧缩政策的证据（英文版）.PDF

Leveraging unprecedented austerity cuts, this paper studies how the closure of over 70% of local police stations – while keeping officer numbers constant – affects crime, police effectiveness, civilian cooperation, and residents’ welfare. Combining g...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-31 发布 | 18.53MB | 72 页
5金币 DeepSeek模型关键创新技术综述（英文版）.PDF

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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-31 发布 | 960.57KB | 11 页
8金币 ChatGPT的情感使用与情感幸福感研究（英文版）.PDF

As AI chatbots see increased adoption and integration into everyday life, questions have been raised about the potential impact of human-like or anthropomorphic AI on users. In this work, we investigate the extent to which interactions with ChatGP...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-31 发布 | 3.24MB | 57 页
8金币国家金融与发展实验室金融与发展中心（王宏淼）：2025年全球宏观经济展望与政策挑战.PDF

2024 年全球经济平稳缓速运行，抑制了通胀，避免了衰退，实现了“软着陆”。贸易回升超出预期，国际投资低位徘徊、转移明显，主要经济体的分裂分化仍在延续。随着超级大选后各国新政治周期的开启， 2025 年全球看“美”，最大的关注点和风险点都来自美国，与“特朗普 2.0”冲击而来的是全球动荡加剧和重构加速。去全球化、地缘冲突、增长缓慢、债务高企、国家和社会撕裂的重重阴霾困扰已久，世界有必要从根本上反思国家发展偏好，审视政治的极端化、经济的国家发展主义、贸易的新重商主义等思潮倾向，才能...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-31 发布 | 1.1MB | 30 页
5金币用户偏爱LLM生成内容-直到发现是AI所为（英文版）.PDF

In this paper, we investigate how individuals evaluate human and large langue models gen erated responses to popular questions when the source of the content is either concealed or disclosed. Through a controlled field ex periment, participants we...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-28 发布 | 313.53KB | 13 页
8金币世界银行：采购低增长：政治偏好对保加利亚公共采购和企业绩效的影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper assesses the impact of favoritism in public procurement on private sector productivity growth. To this end, it combines three novel microeconomic data sets: administrative data on firms, including more than 4 million firm-year observati...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-25 发布 | 1.21MB | 52 页
10金币无抵押金融科技贷款对抵押贷款市场的溢出效应（英文版）.PDF

I study the spillover effect of unsecured FinTech lending on mortgage markets. Using quasi-exogenous variation in LendingClub loan activity due to its partnership with the BancAlliance consortium of community banks in February 2015, I present caus...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-25 发布 | 6.99MB | 68 页
10金币英国财政研究所（IFS）：更年期“罚款”（英文版）.PDF

The motherhood penalty is well-documented, but what happens at the other end of the reproductive spectrum? Menopause—a transition often marked by debilitating physical and psychological symptoms—also entails substantial costs. Using population-wide N...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-03-24 发布 | 1.25MB | 76 页