OpenAI：2026年研究年终结AI能力悬置报告（英文版）

The history of general purpose technologies - from steam engines to semiconductors - suggests thatthe biggest economic gains come not from invention alone, but from turning new capabilities intoscaled, everyday use. Al is advancing at unprecedented speed: the length of tasks it can perform hasbeen doubling roughly every seven months, and progress does not appear to be slowing. In 2022,frontier models could reliably complete tasks that take human experts about 1 minute to complete;today, they