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5金币国际清算银行：评估2025年美国关税对宏观经济的影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper develops a multi-country, multi-sector trade model with input-output linkages to analyze the global macroeconomic effects of the United States’(US) 2025 tariff policies. The model incorporates endogenous labor supply and captures the tr...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-17 发布 | 568.5KB | 29 页
10金币数字化分心与同伴影响：移动应用使用对学业与劳动力市场结果的影响（英文版）.PDF

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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-16 发布 | 1.12MB | 84 页
5金币 TASC：区域视角下的社会经济不利因素（英文版）.PDF

his short paper examines regional components of inequality in Ireland. It first looks at differences in income and living standards between regions, overviewing literature as it relates to the period up to 2000. It finds that foreign investment ha...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-16 发布 | 390.79KB | 14 页
10金币国际货币基金组织：欧元区可调利率抵押贷款的货币政策传导（英文版）.PDF

This paper studies the role of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) in monetary policy transmission within the Euro Area. Conventional wisdom holds that ARMs are relevant per se. This study finds that the presence of liquidity-constrained households stro...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-15 发布 | 5.61MB | 88 页
5金币国际货币基金组织：撒哈拉以南非洲的作物生产力：研究与开发的作用（英文版）.PDF

This paper provides new cross-country evidence that greater investment in agricultural R&Dsignificantly mitigates the adverse effects of climate variability on crop yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Despitethis critical role, only a handful of co...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-15 发布 | 816.03KB | 28 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：水资源宏观临界性（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the macro-criticality of water resources in the context of climate change. It summarizes the past and future trends of water scarcity and droughts and proposes a framework to analyze the macro-criticality and role of public sec...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-15 发布 | 1.52MB | 57 页
15金币法国预测与国际信息中心：极右翼对主流政治的影响：来自国民阵线的证据（英文版）.PDF

How does the electoral success of a far-right political force shape the strategies and policy platforms of mainstream candidates? We answer this question by exploiting the political shock of the creation of the Front National, an antiimmigration p...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-12 发布 | 20.89MB | 116 页
8金币法国预测与国际信息中心：能源和财政冲击：重新评估产业竞争力（英文版）.PDF

Energy price shocks never occur in isolation: their impact is shaped by the broader macroeconomic context, in particular by governments' fiscal stance. This paper investigates how two key forces-energy price shocks and demand stimuli induced b...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-12 发布 | 4.13MB | 55 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：传统计量经济学模型与机器学习算法的GDP预测性能：模拟和案例研究（英文版）.PDF

Are Machine Learning (ML) algorithms superior to traditional econometric models for GDP nowcasting in a time series setting? Based on our evaluation of all models from both classes ever used in nowcasting across simulation and six country cases, t...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-12 发布 | 5.14MB | 48 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：贷款定价中的碳风险：承诺渠道与实际影响（英文版）.PDF

We study how carbon risk affects the pricing of U.S. corporate loans and how firms’ and lenders’ commitments influence both loan terms and business decisions. Combining syndicated loan data with firm-level carbon emissions, we document a carbon ri...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-12-12 发布 | 1.19MB | 45 页