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学术论文

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8金币韩国央行：气候变化对韩国经济的影响：基于函数数据的聚合VAR（英文版）.PDF

This study investigates the economic effects of climate change on small open economies within a broader global context, using South Korea as a case study. We apply advanced econometric techniques to analyze high-dimensional functional data and emp...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 2.48MB | 51 页
10金币欧洲央行：如何在VAR模型中进行贝叶斯联合推理？（英文版）.PDF

When economic analysis requires simultaneous inference across multiple variables and time horizons, this paper shows that conventional pointwise quantiles in Bayesian structural vector autoregressions significantly understate the uncertainty of im...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 5.03MB | 64 页
10金币欧洲央行：央行公司债券购买交易中的异质中介（英文版）.PDF

This paper studies the role of financial intermediaries in the transmission of central bank corporate bond purchases to bond yields. Contrary to standard expectations, we find that mutual funds—typically viewed as price-elastic investors—amplify, ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 3.12MB | 95 页
8金币 ADB亚洲开发银行：财政压力下的货币政策：财政主导的前瞻性分析（英文版）.PDF

Subdued economic activity and low tax revenues, especially during crises, drive borrowing and increase public debt. During these periods, to ease the debt burden, central banks may face pressure to deviate from policy targets. Under fiscal dominan...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 1.76MB | 43 页
10金币国际货币基金组织：货币机器内部：流动性、到期日和信贷转换建模（英文版）.PDF

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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 2.66MB | 61 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：跨境移民对拉丁美洲和加勒比国家劳动力参与性别差距的影响（英文版）.PDF

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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 2.5MB | 32 页
5金币世界银行：脱碳化航空运输：准实验的洞见.PDF

2023年中美直飞航班仅占2019年同期的7%。这项准实验为航空运输脱碳化辩论提供了信息。据估计的结构模型显示，恢复疫情前的直飞连通性可将旅客数量增加387 %并使价格降低63%。此外，由于航班管制，二氧化碳排放下降了80%。一项反事实模拟表明，通过维持新冠疫情前的连接性，并通过市场机制（即抵消）实现相同的减排量，将导致旅客数量增加（+365%）、价格降低（−6 0%）以及消费者剩余的减少幅度更低（−40%），这比后新冠疫情时期的均衡状态观察到的要高。
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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-01 发布 | 1.07MB | 21 页
8金币世界银行：制定政策以解决撒哈拉以南非洲地区的性别数字技能差距（英文版）.PDF

The rapid expansion of the digital economy in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) presents opportunities and challenges in addressing the gender digital skills divide. This report analyzes comprehensive, genderresponsive policy approaches to bridge this gend...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-08-29 发布 | 4.73MB | 30 页
8金币世界银行：中东和北非地区儿童早期接触干旱的长期影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the long-term impacts of early-life drought exposure on the human capital and socioeconomic outcomes of women born in the Arab Republic of Egypt, Jordan, and Morocco across more than five decades. Using a pooled cross-section o...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-08-29 发布 | 1.27MB | 42 页
8金币世界银行：中东和北非干旱对劳动力市场的影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the impact of negative precipitation shocks (droughts) on labor markets in the Middle East and North Africa region. Using Labor Force Survey data across five countries over approximately 25 years and matched with fifth generati...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-08-29 发布 | 1.23MB | 33 页