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学术论文

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5金币美联储：双重惯性、泰勒规则与货币政策渐进主义（英文版）.PDF

In recent decades, an empirically estimated double-inertial rule fits the path of changes in the federal funds rate better than a standard inertial Taylor rule. Inertial Taylor rules aim to capture monetary policy gradualism via slow adjustments i...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-10 发布 | 428.32KB | 23 页
8金币美联储：通胀感知在消费者通胀预期中的作用：来自欧元区的证据（英文版）.PDF

Using data on euro-area household inflation forecasts from the European Commission Consumer Survey, we show that households’ perceptions of recent price changes play a key role in the formation of their inflation expectations. Such a relationship ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-10 发布 | 898.29KB | 56 页
10金币美联储：完美安全的数字货币的脆弱性（英文版）.PDF

Digital money differs from previous forms of money in an important way: it unbundles trust. Instead of relying on a trustworthy institution to settle payments, it relies on decentralized verification, whose cost is priced separately through conges...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-10 发布 | 984.25KB | 70 页
10金币美联储：慢速学习（英文版）.PDF

This paper provides an analytic characterization of the speed of convergence under learning to a rational expectations equilibrium (REE) for a large class of multivariate models. We show that learning is slower when people’s beliefs about model ou...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-10 发布 | 973.2KB | 75 页
8金币世界银行：缺少证据：全球学术数据使用情况追踪（英文版）.PDF

Data-driven research on a country is key to producing evidence-based public policies. Yet little is known about where data-driven research is lacking and how it could be expanded. This paper proposes a method for tracking academic data use by coun...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-10 发布 | 3.35MB | 39 页
8金币国际劳工组织（ILO）：为职业安全与健康预防融资：六个案例的比较分析（英文版）.PDF

At its 349th Session, the ILO Governing Body endorsed the Global Strategy on Occupational Safety and Health (OSH), recognizing sustainable financing as a key condition for the development of effective, resilient and sustainable national OSH system...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-09 发布 | 1.79MB | 57 页
3金币张天祥：温塘镇温泉康养旅游产品适老化设计研究.PDF

随着康养旅游需求的持续增长，温泉康养旅游已成为旅游产业转型升级的重要方向。河北省平山县温塘镇凭借独特的高温氡泉资源与多年温泉康养服务经验，具备发展温泉康养旅游的显著优势，但也面临产品结构单一、温泉设施与服务适老化不足等问题。本文建议以完善温泉及住宿设施适老化设计与无障碍设施配置，提升服务质量与康养专业水平等方式，提升温塘镇温泉康养旅游的竞争优势，助力其向老年友好型康养目的地转型升级
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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-09 发布 | 554.08KB | 6 页
5金币美联储：1968年至2020年美联储的替代方案：数据、解释和评估（英文版）.PDF

We comprehensively document 1,265 Federal Reserve staff alternative scenarios presented to the Federal Open Market Committee in publicly released materials from 1968 to 2020. Scenarios grew in frequency and sophistication, typically spanning a ran...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-04 发布 | 740.5KB | 25 页
10金币美联储：美国共同基金行业的技能和效率（英文版）.PDF

We propose a new measure of mutual fund manager ability: “efficiency” is the ability to accrue the risk premium associated with a risk factor. The familiar abnormal return, or alpha, is shown to be the sum of two distinct measures of ability: “agg...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-04 发布 | 1.58MB | 79 页
8金币美联储：银行监管与非银行中介的兴起（英文版）.PDF

We study the rise of nonbank financial intermediation and its implications for systemic risk. We develop a structural network model of banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) that decomposes intermediation into a capacity channel, driven ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2026-06-04 发布 | 1.96MB | 41 页