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8金币欧洲央行：从伯南克-布兰查德模型看欧元区通货膨胀的财政来源（英文版）.PDF

We estimate the contribution of discretionary fiscal policy measures to euro area inflation in the post-pandemic era using an extension of Bernanke and Blanchard (2024b)’s semi-structural model. Since the pandemic, aggregate discretionary fiscal m...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-24 发布 | 2.12MB | 46 页
10金币欧洲央行：绿色产品供应链解耦：粒度投入产出分析（英文版）.PDF

This paper introduces a novel methodology to enhance the granularity of Inter-Country InputOutput (ICIO) tables. While our general methodology can be applied to any products of interest, we show that the well-documented distortions caused by secto...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-24 发布 | 1.67MB | 60 页
8金币世界银行：人工智能时代的劳动力需求：来自美国招聘数据的早期证据（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the causal impact of generative artificial intelligence on U.S. labor demand using online job posting data. Exploiting ChatGPT’s release in November 2022 as an exogenous shock, the paper applies difference-in-differences and ev...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-24 发布 | 14.4MB | 49 页
10金币智能体AI：探索多模态交互的边界（英文版）.PDF

Multi-modal AI systems will likely become a ubiquitous presence in our everyday lives. A promising approach to making these systems more interactive is to embody them as agents within physical and virtual environments. At present, systems leverage...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-24 发布 | 44.15MB | 80 页
8金币当AI开始讨好人类：大型语言模型“社会式谄媚”现象全解析（英文版）.PDF

LLMs are known to exhibit sycophancy: agreeing with and flattering users, even at the cost of correctness. Prior work measures sycophancy only as direct agreement with users’ explicitly stated beliefs that can be compared to a ground truth. This f...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-24 发布 | 812KB | 34 页
5金币肖俊夫：“双碳”目标下再生资源利用的碳减排效应及作用机制研究.PDF

:再生资源利用的碳减排效应对推动形成适合中国国情的差异化减排路径和实现“双碳”目标具有重大意义。在此背景下,深入探讨和评估再生资源利用的碳减排效应及作用机制,是学界亟待厘清的重要课题。文章作者首先将再生资源对原生资源的替代利用看作是一种环境反污染活动,并构造社会效用函数,基于最优控制理论模型,推导再生资源利用对碳减排效应的影响机制。理论推导结果表明:再生资源利用碳减排效应是否存在取决于再生资源利用过程消耗资源的系数,当再生资源替代减少的碳排放大于再生资源回收利用过程中新消耗...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-21 发布 | 1.87MB | 15 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：货币政策向家庭信贷的传导：来自乌干达信贷登记数据的证据（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission in developing countries using loan-level data from Uganda’s credit registry. We analyze more than 632,000 household loans issued by all commercial banks between 2017 and 2023, a...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-20 发布 | 5.38MB | 37 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：基于搜索的并购理论（英文版）.PDF

We develop a search-based theory of mergers and acquisitions with heterogeneous firms and endogenous search complementarities. We use this model to understand how merger incentives and the firm size distribution interact. In equilibrium, search co...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-20 发布 | 667.24KB | 34 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：零售中央银行数字货币（rCBDCs）的财务完整性影响（英文版）.PDF

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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-20 发布 | 1.36MB | 51 页
8金币世界银行：评估巴拉圭随机气候冲击的宏观经济影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines the macroeconomic consequences of climate shocks in Paraguay, a small and open agricultural exporter that is highly exposed to droughts and floods. Utilizing a modified version of the World Bank’s Macro-Fiscal Model, the analys...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-11-20 发布 | 2.91MB | 42 页