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学术论文

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10金币韩国央行：美元主导地位与美国金融危机的国际溢出效应（英文版）.PDF

This paper investigates how the global dominance of the US dollar amplifies thecross-border transmission offinancial shocks originating in the United States. I de-velop a small open economy DSGE model that embeds the dollar's central role inin...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-24 发布 | 1.4MB | 70 页
8金币 Educatjon：在人工智能时代促进和保护教师能动性.PDF

教育挑战和机遇。人工智能越来越被视为有潜力支持教学实践、增强学生学习，并普遍提高教学、专业学习和行政任务的效率。与此同时，教育中的人工智能可能会削弱人的能动性，允许侵犯隐私和数据安全，并加剧现有的系统性不平等和教育排斥。因此，人工智能既带来了变革机遇，也带来了深刻责任，以确保其设计、开发和应用能够增强而非削弱教育所必需的独特人类能力。因此，我们正处在一个关键节点，需要所有相关方进行集体反思并采取果断行动，塑造一个确保人工智能技术合乎伦理、包容和公平应用的教育未来。<...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-24 发布 | 966.35KB | 35 页
5金币 Weizenbaum Institute：AI实施过程中数据工作的动态报告（英文版）.PDF

The discourse on automation and artificial intelligence (AI) highlights the critical yet underexplored role of data work. While previous studies have focused on data work in the production of AI systems, this article investigates its significance ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-23 发布 | 588.5KB | 28 页
8金币欧洲央行：财政声明的信号效应（英文版）.PDF

Announcing a large fiscal stimulus may signal the government’s pessimism about the severity of a recession to the private sector, impairing the stabilizing effects of the policy. Using a theoretical model, we show that these signaling effects occu...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-23 发布 | 2.77MB | 58 页
5金币欧洲央行：劳动力市场变化对家庭抵押贷款的异质性影响（英文版）.PDF

This paper examines how structural change in labor markets affects householdcredit outcomes. Using a Shift-Share instrumental variable approach, we find thatoccupational shifts negatively infuence mortgage holding for houscholds facing fa.vorable ...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-23 发布 | 1.18MB | 17 页
8金币欧洲央行：通货膨胀对金融稳定的因果效应，历史证据（英文版）.PDF

In contrast to the conventional Fisherian view that inflation reduces real debt positions, we show that significant increases in inflation are strongly associated with financial crises. In the spirit of Jord`a et al. (2020), countries with free an...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-23 发布 | 1.64MB | 43 页
5金币未来能源研究所：对能源部气候工作组题为“气候变化、经济和社会碳成本”的报告第11章的评论对温室气体排放对美国气候影响的关键性评估.PDF

对于那些指定温度对GDP增长影响随时间累积的模型，不确定性最大；在表现最佳的模型中，同时考虑抽样和模型不确定性的95%置信区间从84%的GDP损失到359 %的收益不等。GDP水平效应的模型产生了分布范围更窄的GDP影响，集中在1-3% 的损失，这与主要综合评估模型的损害函数一致。此外，包含滞后温度效应的模型表明对GDP水平的影响，而非GDP增长。我们识别出温度对贫穷国家GDP和农业生产存在统计上显著的边际效应，但对富裕国家的GDP、非农业生产或GDP增长则没有。...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-23 发布 | 1.05MB | 16 页
8金币加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：从和平红利到国防红利：双重用途、量子和北约目标（英文版）.PDF

In an age of geopolitical and technological disruption, defence spending is increasingly viewed not merely as a security imperative but also as a strategic lever for industrial renewal and longer-term economic resilience. The North Atlantic Treaty...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-22 发布 | 885.69KB | 30 页
5金币国际货币基金组织：波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的房地产市场（英文版）.PDF

This Selected Issues Paper (SIP) analyzes recent developments in the real estate market in Bosnia and Herzegovina, focusing on housing price dynamics, financial stability implications, and policy responses. Housing prices in Bosnia and Herzegovi...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-22 发布 | 1.85MB | 16 页
8金币国际货币基金组织：欧盟碳边界调整机制的宏观经济暴露：以中东和中亚为例（英文版）.PDF

Taking the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) as given, our paper evaluates the impact of this terms-of-trade shock on the Middle East and Central Asia (ME&CA). Using a novel methodology and fresh data applied to the la...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-22 发布 | 816.18KB | 40 页