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期刊文章

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8金币 AMRO：LSTM多变量时间序列系统中的冲击传播（英文版）.PDF

Long-short term memory networks (LSTMs) offer a promising approach for analyzing shock propagation in multivariate economic and financial systems. To harness this potential, we introduce the LSTM multiplier response function, analogous to the impu...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-09 发布 | 1.05MB | 44 页
5金币欧洲议会：迈向全面且有益的军事流动性方法（英文版）.PDF

Military mobility, defined as the capacity of armed forces to swiftly move troops and equipment across the European Union (EU), is a crucial but long-overlooked aspect of European defence. After decades of underinvestment and unresolved obstacles,...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-09 发布 | 899.25KB | 12 页
5金币斯坦福商学院：为什么人们选择极端候选人？身份相关性的作用（英文版）.PDF

Elected officials are increasingly extreme. Research trying to understand this trend has tended to focus on structural factors, such as primary elections and changes in the supply of candidates. Less emphasis has been placed on psychological persp...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-09 发布 | 4.2MB | 20 页
3金币韩振燕：数字技术赋能智慧养老的内在逻辑、困境指向与实践进路——基于技术-组织-环境分析框架.PDF

打造高质量的智慧养老服务是转变传统养老服务模式、顺应时代发展、积极应对人口老龄化的必然要求。基于“技术-组织-环境”的T0E分析框架,数字技术赋能智慧养老的内在逻辑主要体现为以数字技术为驱动力、以养老需求为推动力、以政策方针为牵引力一并存在数字挑战的技术困境、主体约束的组织困境和支持不是的环境困境。数字技术赋能智慧养老要实现数字技术的深度融合、提升组织的数字能力、构建数字包容型社会，从而实现养老服务的高质量发展。
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内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-08 发布 | 1.02MB | 6 页
8金币政府研究所：改变方向-如何快速改革公务员系统（英文版）.PDF

The fast stream is the civil service’s flagship talent development programme. It has become a staple of the graduate recruitment market and is regularly rated as one of the top graduate employers in the country. It is now an essential pipeline for...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 1.8MB | 56 页
10金币国际劳工组织（ILO）：在数字时代导航工人的数据权利（英文版）.PDF

Over recent decades, comprehensive data protection legislation has proliferated worldwide, with a majority of jurisdictions enacting robust statutory regimes. Despite this abundance of legal standards, persistent challenges remain regarding the ef...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 1023.26KB | 67 页
10金币美联储：当尾部很重时：GARCH模型的方差目标、非高斯、准最大似然估计的好处（英文版）.PDF

In heavy-tailed cases, variance targeting the Student’s-t estimator proposed in Bollerslev (1987) for the linear GARCH model is shown to be robust to density misspecification, just like the popular Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE). The re...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 1.6MB | 79 页
10金币美联储：地缘政治风险与全球银行业（英文版）.PDF

How do banks respond to geopolitical risk, and is this response distinct from other macroeconomic risks? Using U.S. supervisory data and new geopolitical risk indices, we show that banks reduce cross-border lending to countries with elevated geopo...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 1.63MB | 77 页
8金币美联储：期权定价的局部估计：利用市场状态信息改进预测（英文版）.PDF

We propose a novel estimation framework for option pricing models that incorporates local, state-dependent information to improve out-of-sample forecasting performance. Rather than modifying the underlying option pricing model, such as the Heston-...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 1.81MB | 53 页
5金币世界银行：疫情世界中的贸易促进组织（英文版）.PDF

A 2021–22 Survey of Trade Promotion Organisations (TPOs) conducted by the World Bank to understand how the COVID-19 pandemic affected their functioning uncovers significant heterogeneity in TPOs’ characteristics across countries, but also income l...

内容提供方：外唐用户 | 2025-09-04 发布 | 9.06MB | 19 页